Rising wages
Labor has been rising along with the cost of real estate and goods.
After the lunar New Year in February 2006, minimum wage hikes (which applied only to foreign firms) greatly increased labor costs. There is a three-tier minimum wage structure, set at 870,000 dong (about US$55) in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi; 790,000 dong (about US$50) in Haiphong, Dong Nai, and Binh Duong; and 710,000 dong (US$45) elsewhere. On average the hike amounted to about 40%.
The Vietnamese government notes that even with wages rising about 7-8% per year nationwide, this minimum wage hike was necessary to combat the cost of living increases associated with the recent depreciation of the dong. Whereas US$1 used to buy 10,000 dong, now it buys 16,000. A wage worth US$45 would have to rise from 450,000 to 720,000 dong to maintain that value.
Yet this unexpected wage hike caught many foreign firms, which had grown accustomed to the advantageous currency trend, completely unprepared. Richard Tsai, general manager of Active International Co., points out that the company already raised salaries before the lunar New Year. They didn't expect to be forced to raise salaries again right after it. With 400 employees at its plant, the hike will cost the company several million NT dollars a year. All Tsai can do is suffer in silence.
Because the Vietnamese government gave companies incomplete information about implementing the policy, some were biding their time, hoping to negotiate. But they didn't expect that workers, who were expecting quick wage hikes, would go on strike.
"In fact, if foreign firms just behave themselves and follow government policy, they don't have to worry about strikes," says Kuo Chao-hung, general manager of the Taiwanese firm Chiu Yi Vietnam Co., which makes motorcycle parts in Vietnam. If your aim is for long-term operations, you've got to adapt to local customs and be careful. It is expected that investment in Vietnam will increase rapidly over the next five years.
Tough times for traditional industries
Since 1986, when liberalization began, Vietnam has never wavered in welcoming foreign investment, but the Vietnamese government has not ceded economic authority to provinces and cities as in China. The central and local governments are often not on the same page about the implementation of policy, and many laws have not been fully implemented. When you add an unwieldy and complex bureaucracy and poor administrative inefficiency, it means that the foreign investment experience in Vietnam is not always smooth sailing.
Take the financial services industry. In the 15 years since the start of liberalization in 1993, even though all the procedures have been drawn up and all the conditions met, only six Taiwan financial institutions out of 47 seeking to set up operations in Vietnam have obtained licenses and formally established branches.
What's more, in recent years the government has been hoping to upgrade industry, and has gradually been less welcoming of labor-intensive and high-polluting industries, such as textile dyeing and finishing or scrap metals. Not only do these industries have to meet wastewater standards that are more stringent than in Taiwan, but the administrative review process is slower than for other industries.
Apart from industry type, scale is another important consideration for deciding whether to set up in Vietnam. Chang Po-wei, the TPPC representative in Vietnam, says, "Vietnam has been open a full 20 years. To enter now, you really have to be a large firm to make it. Individual operators are already finding it tough to survive.
No more wandering?
Every path has its own hardships. No matter where they invest, Taiwanese firms will discover different struggles and joys. But as Taiwanese businesspeople like to say: "There's only opportunity where there's risk." As long as there is opportunity for profits, Taiwanese firms will overcome all kinds of hardships to set up in Vietnam.
In June of this year Thomas M. J. Yeh, vice chairman of the Council for Economic Planning and Development, had this advice to those Taiwan firms planning on investing in Vietnam: "Taiwan companies must develop unique niche products, and they cannot simply transplant to Vietnam factories that cannot survive in Taiwan, China or Southeast Asia. One can only get big by aiming higher. You've got to be farsighted, or else you will have to go somewhere else in the not-too-distant future!"
In accordance with Taiwan's southward economic expansion campaign to create another "safe haven" and avoid becoming overly dependent on China, the hope is that Vietnam will not serve merely as a temporary waystation, but rather as permanent overseas destination for Taiwanese firms.